Wednesday 26 August 2015

How to Spot Unfavourable Factors of a Company? (2)

Today, I would like to share with you another example of finding unfavourable factors of a company.

CAM RESOURCES BHD









·         Palm Oil Mil - Processing and sale of crude palm oil, palm kernel and other related products
·         Manufacturing of aluminium, stainless steel, melamine and plastic household products and palm fibre
·         Trading of household products

Price, RM                : 0.245  
NTA, RM                : 0.54
PE                           : 6.13
No. of shares           : 177.2m
R0E, %                   : 7.41
Market cap., RM     : 43.4m
D/Y, %                   : 0          




I believe before the quarter report of FY15Q1 out, the pretty result of CAMRES was able to attract many investors. To be frank, I am one of them. By just looking at the results, it is normal one will think that CAMRES is growing or CAMRES fundamental is improving.












Firstly, Palm Oil Mill contributed the largest portion of revenue in CAMRES, which is around 60%. Look at the palm oil monthly price chart above. When the palm oil price getting lower and lower, it means that CAMRES net profit margin will be heavily hit. The operating expenses and the volume they sell are the same but the sales value they received is getting much lower. It had a bad effect for CAMRES which we can seen in CAMRES latest quarter report. It mentioned that the sales from palm oil mill had been reduced.

Borrowing, RM
16,686,562
35,910,616
48,524,840
55,292,351
Free cash flow, RM
6,825,757
5,656,759
9,418,505
7,725,416
Net cash, RM
(9,860,805)
(30,253,857)
(39,106,335)
(47,566,935)

Secondly, CAMRES borrowing is increasing from year to year while its cash doesn’t seem to increase. Its net debt is already up to RM47m! FYI, market capitalization for CAMRES is only RM43.4m, which is lower than its net debt! That’s mean theoretically even though the company disposed all its shares and sold it, it still not enough to pay off its debt!
If the economy crisis really coming one day, a company with huge of debt and little cash flow will be the first to hit! The company might not be able to turn the situation. It will be a disaster.

Thirdly, CAMRES don’t even have any business description on its website. As investors, we can’t get to know more about the company and its business. Even the last update in its annual report section was on Oct 2010, which is almost 5 years ago. The company seems like do not bother to update their investors. It had reduced my interest on this company. FYI, almost every listed company website is up to date and packed with company information. 



















Lastly, one of the executive directors of CAMRES, Mr. Hia had disposed 2m shares, which are equivalents to 1.3% on June 2015. Normally, company director will acquire more shares since they knew the company operation well. But, when they disposed, it is a sign that a company director had lost its confidence to the company. Since we can’t access too much company information, it’s better to keep away from such company.

As a conclusion, everyone had their own method of analysis and screening. I hope this will help most of the investors to choose more wisely in the future. Feel free to comment if you disagree with me or have any opinion.

Just for sharing.

No comments:

Post a Comment